Others Interested in Oslo Accords?

dbonsaiw

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As someone who negotiates for a living, I find the run up to the Oslo Accords and their aftermath to be fascinating. It really puts the entire conflict as least as it exists today in better perspective. And although the terms "two state solution" and "settlements" are part of our vernacular and thrown around by anyone with a smart phone, we tend not to use these terms as the legal terms of art they were intended to be and also assume that items were part of the deal when they were in fact not.

It is important to note what these accords did and did not do. Importantly, the accords called for a framework for peace, but did not set out specific details of this framework. The specifics were supposed to be negotiated among the parties. Although the accords called for withdrawals of Israeli presence "from palestinian territories" it specifically did not require Israel to leave all of it ever. In fact, the withdrawals were supposed to be in line with the land for peace proposals in which there would be population exchanges among the parties.

The issues that were to be be negotiated, according to Article XVII.1, were: "Jerusalem, settlements, specified military locations, Palestinian refugees, borders, foreign relations and Israelis; and ... powers and responsibilities not transferred to the Council." Area C would be completely controlled by Israel. By excluding Jerusalem and the settlements from the areas to be transferred to the Palestinians, Israeli presence, including the military to protect them, would not change without a negotiated agreement. The Accords also preserve Israel's exclusive control of the borders, the airspace and the territorial Gaza waters.

the Oslo Accords did not even mention a two state solution. What it did was create self-governing institutions in the WB and gaza. Notions of "two-state" solutions were terms that were massaged over many years of UN interference.

Since the accords, Israel has made numerous settlement proposals. In fact, Israel has offered the Palestinians approximately 99% of what they were asking for. These offers were all rejected by the Palestinians. I think they want the "river to the sea" and this is not a winning argument in the context of Oslo (nor a vastly superior military - hey, practicalities are important).

Regarding the "refugee issue", UNWRA has invented something that applies to no peoples except palestinians - generational refugees. The hope of the palestinians is for millions of so-called refugees from lebanon and syria to flood Israel under a "right of return". And while the world feigns compassion for palestinians when Israel is involved, there is absolutely no care for the fact that palestinians are kept in refugee camps under apartheid conditions in lebanon and syria where they are not allowed to hold certain jobs and have curfews. 4 (maybe 5) generations later, they are still there and being held there in the hopes of flooding Israel with people who have no connection to Israel. (With UNWRA's active participation in hamas now evident, UNWRA will be dismantled).

Combined with standing UN rule 7 in which Israel must be discussed at every meeting, international pressure has been brought to bear against Israel to make concessions that were never actually agreed to. We have been conditioned by the media to believe that the Oslo Accords did things they in fact did not. And so items that were supposed to be negotiated are believed incorrectly to have been already addressed (and, of course, Israel is blamed). Rather than negotiate or follow through with their Oslo obligations, the palestinians have turned to the UN and their lackeys to cram things down Israel's throat. With an automatic anti-Israel majority at the UN, there is no incentive for the palestinians to negotiate anything (also makes it hard to negotiate when one side doesn't care about their own civilians and the other makes horrible concessions to get just one hostage back).

Well, if the issues aren't resolved and folks are going to try to force a unilateral settlement on Israel, Israel will seek its own leverage - enter the settlements. If the palestinians are going to proceed down a non-negotiated path, Israel intends to do the same. After all, it was always anticipated that Israel would remain in large parts of Area C.

No palestinian state was ever formed. The concept has no identified borders, other than being in gaza, Area A and parts of Area C. Something that doesn't exist, never existed and doesn't have contours simply can't have anything taken from them. They don't have anything yet to take. They were supposed to negotiate in order to actually get something. They refused. Perhaps one day they will change their minds and sit down with Israel to make a deal. Perhaps one day they will have a land of their own. But today they do not.

I would submit that pressure be brought to bear on the palestinians (as well as Israel) to negotiate and that they be prevented from seeking to end-run Oslo through UN and other international bodies. In addition, the end result of this process is supposed to be two nations living in peace side by side, not for a so-called solution to bring an end to Israel.
 
In 2000, a summit was held in the US between Bill Clinton, Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Barak and P.A. chairman Yasser Arafat, the intent of which was to end the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. The negotiations were based on an all-or-nothing approach, such that "nothing was considered agreed and binding until everything was agreed." This is an important point - because no deal was ultimately reached, it cannot be said that anything was agreed to under the terms set for the negotiation.

The Israeli offer to the palestinians gave the palestinians essentially everything they requested. These concessions were painful and sent shock waves through Israeli society and the country was very much divided on the propriety of these negotiations. Nevertheless, an opportunity for peace was on the horizon and the left-wing Israeli government believed this could finally be achieved. With the help of Clinton, they marched forward despite sharp public disagreement.

Arafat, recognizing that the rules set for negotiation regarding its "no-concession nature until finalized" would never be respected by the UN and that the Israeli concessions would simply get treated as the floor for the "next round" of negotiations, Arafat rejected the offer. Instead of agreeing to peace, the palestinians started the Second Intifada. Israeli public sentiment regarding the lack of a palestinian desire for peace was confirmed. This essentially spelled the death of the left-wing Israeli political parties. Ariel Sharon - a right-wing hawk - was elected Prime Minister. And it's basically been right-wing ever since. The stronghold of far-left, liberal Israelis are concentrated outside of Central Israel and largely in the south bordering gaza. These communities were ravaged by hamas on 10/7. These peace activists who worked closely with gazans are now longer lefties - the survivors will be voting right wing for the rest of their lives. Similar things can be said of the residents of the north displaced by hezbollah. With the full-throated support of the UN for palestinian terror, I would not expect a left-wing government in Israel for the next 50 years. We will see if parties like Labor even have 1 seat in Knesset at next election. Israeli's have learned their lessons from Camp David.

Ehud Barak portrays Arafat's behavior at Camp David as a "performance geared to exact as many Israeli concessions as possible without ever seriously intending to reach a peace settlement or sign an "end to the conflict". On his return to Israel, Barak said: “Today I return from Camp David, and can look into the millions of eyes and say with regret: We have not yet succeeded. We did not succeed because we did not find a partner prepared to make decisions on all issues. We did not succeed because our Palestinian neighbors have not yet internalized the fact that in order to achieve peace, each side has to give up some of their dreams; to give, not only to demand.” Barak later said that at Camp David, Yasir Arafat and his true intentions were “unmasked.”

Clinton blamed Arafat after the failure of the talks. Clinton wrote that Arafat once complimented Clinton by telling him, "You are a great man." Clinton responded, "I am not a great man. I am a failure, and you made me one." He stated to arafat "You are leading your people and the region to a catastrophe." He stated that arafat was missing the best opportunity the palestinians would ever get.

Dennis Ross, the US Middle East envoy and a key negotiator at the summit, summarized his perspectives in his book The Missing Piece. During a lecture in Australia, Ross suggested that the reason for the failure was Arafat's unwillingness to sign a final deal with Israel that would close the door on any of the Palestinians' maximum demands, particularly the right of return. Ross claimed that what Arafat really wanted was "a one-state solution, not independent, adjacent Israeli and Palestinian states. Arafat and the Palestinian leadership had unrealistic expectations that they could force Israel to concede to their maximalist demands without making important compromises of their own.

Arafat was also accused of scuttling the talks by Nabil Amr a former minister in the PA.

Having misappropriated billions in funds meant for the palestinian people, mostly international aid, he died a very rich man and left the money to his family. His wife lived the life of luxury in france. This business model has been copied, especially by hamas who steals all international aid from the gazans and even steals the food aid which it sells to impoverished gazans at exorbitant prices. Until their recent untimely demise, hamas leaders were also billionaires living the high life in qatar. Many still do in qatar and turkey (a NATO ally!!!!!). Using palesitnians as pawns is great business for islamo fascists. When its so easy to ring the cash register by oppressing your own and pointing the finger at Israel at the UN the money continues to flow. A "free Palestinian" is simply not lucrative.

The palestinians have since committed unspeakable atrocities and turn to the UN for cover and support (which they are freely given). With the vote of an automatic Muslim majority and a laundry list of rag-tag nations run by tyrants and despots, the palestiians have for now found a way to continue making maximalist demands without concessions. In the interim, Western sensibilities (IMO because of biased media coverage mostly) simply cannot seem to understand that only by freeing the palestinian people from the clutches of violent islamists who use them as pawns can peace and future be established.
 
Former US president Bill Clinton recently defended Israel’s war against Hamas while campaigning for Vice President Kamala Harris in Michigan stating:

“Let me talk about the hardest issue here in Michigan, the Middle East. I have to be careful what I say because there’s only one president at a time, and none of us can get ahead of where we’re going. But I think we’re going to have to essentially start again on the peace process,” says a hoarse Clinton.

“I understand why young Palestinian and Arab Americans in Michigan think too many people have died, but if you lived in one of those kibbutzim in Israel, right next to Gaza, where the people there were the most pro-friendship with Palestine — the most pro-two-state solution of any of the Israeli communities were the ones right next to Gaza, and Hamas butchered them,” he notes.

“The people who criticize [Israel’s response] are essentially saying, ‘Yeah, but look how many people you’ve killed in retaliation, how many is enough for you to kill to punish them for the terrible things they did?'”

“That all sounds nice until you realize what you would do if it was your family and you hadn’t done anything but support a homeland for the Palestinians, and one day they come for you and slaughter the people in your village.”

“You would say, ‘You have to forgive me, but I’m not keeping score that way.’ It isn’t how many we’ve had to kill because Hamas makes sure that they’re shielded by civilians. They’ll force you to kill civilians if you want to defend yourself,” Clinton says.
 
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